Romney in ’12?

If the pro-Romney faction of the McCain campaign is the one leaking (or making up?) the anti-Palin stories, which is quite possible, it may take down Palin, if she hasn’t taken herself out already (which I tend to think), it will be all for naught because Mitt Romney is not going to be president of the United States.

UNLESS.…and this is a huge unless.  Unless the economic situation turns depressionary and holds throughout Obama’s entire term and he totally f’s up.  Then Romney could run as Mr. Fix It.

Other than that scenario it’s Mitt Romney we’re talking about here.  Romney, however perfectly coiffed his full head of hair is, is cringe-inducing through the television.  This folks is the media age and the introverted, phony, East Coast Brahman Romeny can not pass the test.

Remember my mantra:  Reagan beat Mondale.  Clinton beat HW Bush and Dore.  W Bush beat Gore (the previously shackled introverted Gore btw) and Kerry.

He is just not comfortable in his skin around people.  And that makes others uncomfortable. If anyone needed a reminder as to exactly the kind of thing I’m talking about, uh….the following:

Of the current crew of Republicans, the charismatic, forward looking, optimistic, extraverted, able to talk freely about his personal life in a way that connects with people is Mike Huckabee.  Whatever else you (or I) think of his politics or his worldview.  He’s engaging and he can draw you in, make you feel like you are in conversation with him.  Mitt Romney—not so much.

We’ve had two introverted styles run against one another in ’88 (Bush Senior and Dukkakis).  We have not had two of the extroverted styles (arguably since Carter-Reagan, although Carter was still pretty stick in the mud).

What would be interesting is two of the more extraverted/media friendly candidates in a general election in ’12.  Then the election would actually be unpredictable.  Palin could have been that person in some fashion–she’s got the evangelical cred and background–but I think she has been far too damaged by her less than preparedness let’s say on the campaign trail.

Minus that scenario, say a Romney v. Obama in ’12 (minus the total meltdown scenario above), then Obama wins.

Obviously the who will run for the GOP in four years stuff is rank speculation of the highest order.  But it’s fun nonetheless.  But the forward looking charismatic emotional connector always beats the opposite.  Romney is in the latter column by a LONG SHOT.

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Published in: on November 7, 2008 at 9:05 pm  Comments (2)  
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2 CommentsLeave a comment

  1. my take: Romney is much better qualified than Palin, intellectually and experientially. nothing sexist about that. it’s a subjective and objective fact. so i think the future of the GOP would be better with Romney than Palin. unless the GOP continues its anti-intellectual stance, which would be their undoing.
    see: WSJ: The Perils of ‘Populist Chic’

    then again, i think the best Republican to work with Obama is someone with the likes of Gov. Schwarzenegger. he has a healthy Republican attitude and has a history of being more independent-minded than someone with a fixed partisan agenda.

    so in my view, Governator Schwarzenegger is a better representative of the Republican Party than either Romney or Palin. too bad he can’t run for President.

    ~C

  2. Romney is certainly a helluva lot smarter than Palin. I just don’t see any way Romney could really win an election. Huckabee I think is the one who could win theoretically but he doesn’t have the backing of the movement conservative establishment (which is what the fight between the Palinites and Romney-ites is really all about).

    Whatever is left of the moderate cons (Arnold, Charlie Christ) seems like they will be getting on board in some fashion with Obama and not hitching their wagons to the hard right.


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